Burton Albion
2 - 4
Aston Villa U21s

Jebbison (20'), Hemmings (23')
Hemmings (52'), Powell (65'), Amadi-Holloway (89')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Archer (35', 61', 71'), Abldeen-Goodridge (51')
Iroegbunam (43')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Burton Albion and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 72.99%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for an Aston Villa Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
72.99%	15.98%	11.03%

Both teams to score 54.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.25%

33.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.41%

55.58%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.01%

7.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.81%

28.19%

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.73%

41.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.21%

77.79%

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 72.99%

Aston Villa Under-21s 11.03%

Draw 15.98%

Burton Albion	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 8.87% 1-0 @ 8.33% 3-1 @ 7.85% 4-0 @ 5.6% 4-1 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.48% 5-0 @ 2.83% 5-1 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 2.2% 6-0 @ 1.19% 5-2 @ 1.11% 6-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.15% Total : 72.99%	1-1 @ 7.38% 2-2 @ 4.13% 0-0 @ 3.3% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.98%	1-2 @ 3.27% 0-1 @ 2.92% 0-2 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.22% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.37% Total : 11.03%