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League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
BA

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Burton Albion

McCormick (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hemmings (66')
Hamer (45+3'), Oshilaja (90+6')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawBurton Albion
32.54%26.64%40.82%
Both teams to score 51.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.58%53.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.05%74.95%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31%30.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06%66.94%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24%25.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3%60.69%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 32.54%
    Burton Albion 40.82%
    Draw 26.64%
AFC WimbledonDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.52%
3-1 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.54%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 5.07%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 7.27%
1-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 2.29%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.82%

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