Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.