Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.