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League Two | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
CU

Exeter
2 - 0
Cambridge

Jay (16' pen.), Randall (34')
Parkes (58'), Taylor (77'), McArdle (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Digby (41'), Dunk (79')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 19.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
53.59%26.86%19.55%
Both teams to score 40.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.8%62.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.12%81.88%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48%23.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44%57.56%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.02%46.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.53%82.47%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.58%
    Cambridge United 19.55%
    Draw 26.85%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 15.99%
2-0 @ 11.57%
2-1 @ 8.74%
3-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 4.22%
4-0 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 53.58%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 3.3%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 26.85%
0-1 @ 8.35%
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 19.55%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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