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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
The Valley

Charlton
4 - 1
Saints U21s

Stockley (28', 34' pen., 90+2'), Purrington (45+2')
Morgan (51'), Clayden (68'), Dobson (71'), Pearce (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Lancashire (75')
Simeu (39')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Charlton Athletic and Southampton Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 80.67%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 6.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.86%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawSouthampton Under-21s
80.67%12.51%6.82%
Both teams to score 48.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.89%31.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.47%52.53%
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.09%5.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.39%22.61%
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.51%48.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.41%83.58%
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 80.66%
    Southampton Under-21s 6.82%
    Draw 12.51%
Charlton AthleticDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-0 @ 11.46%
3-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 8.3%
1-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 7.83%
4-0 @ 7.65%
4-1 @ 5.54%
5-0 @ 4.33%
5-1 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.83%
6-0 @ 2.04%
4-2 @ 2.01%
6-1 @ 1.48%
5-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 4%
Total : 80.66%
1-1 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 3%
0-0 @ 2.86%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 12.51%
1-2 @ 2.12%
0-1 @ 2.07%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 6.82%

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