Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 73.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 10.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 3-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Southampton Under-21s win it was 0-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.