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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
St James Park
FG

Exeter
3 - 2
Forest Green

Ajose (45+1'), Jay (57'), Key (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stevens (5', 51')
Wagstaff (41'), Evans (71')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Exeter City and Forest Green Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
50.03%24.82%25.14%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.15%49.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15%71.84%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06%19.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91%52.08%
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61%34.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91%71.09%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 50.03%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.14%
    Draw 24.82%
Exeter CityDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.05%
2-1 @ 9.52%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.03%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.85%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.32%
1-2 @ 6.3%
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.14%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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