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BC
EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 2pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
EC

Bristol City
2 - 0
Exeter

Paterson (35'), Semenyo (83')
Hunt (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sparkes (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawExeter City
38.9%26.12%34.98%
Both teams to score 53.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.19%50.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.3%72.69%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4%25.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53%60.47%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15%27.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55%63.44%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 38.9%
    Exeter City 34.98%
    Draw 26.11%
Bristol CityDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 2.46%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.13%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 9.11%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 3.38%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.31%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 34.98%


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