SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Exeter City |
| 38.9% | 26.12% | 34.98% |
| Both teams to score 53.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% | 50.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% | 72.69% |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% | 25.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.53% | 60.47% |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.15% | 27.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.55% | 63.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 9.71% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.85% Total : 34.98% |
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