Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
