Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.