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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 24, 2021 at 7pm UK
 

Lincoln
3 - 2
Man Utd U21s

Scully (23', 32', 57')
McGrandles (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McNeill (68'), Hardley (89')
Mejbri (87')
Mejbri (90+1')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Lincoln City and Manchester United Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawManchester United Under-21s
64.76%18.5%16.74%
Both teams to score 61.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.75%32.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.14%53.86%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.57%9.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.32%31.68%
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67%32.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16%68.84%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 64.76%
    Manchester United Under-21s 16.74%
    Draw 18.5%
Lincoln CityDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 7.56%
1-0 @ 7.2%
3-0 @ 6.69%
4-1 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 4.27%
4-0 @ 3.95%
4-2 @ 2.52%
5-1 @ 2.11%
5-0 @ 1.87%
5-2 @ 1.19%
4-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 64.76%
1-1 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 5.42%
0-0 @ 3.05%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 18.5%
1-2 @ 4.59%
0-1 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.04%
0-2 @ 1.94%
1-3 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 16.74%

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