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EFL Trophy | Second Round
Dec 8, 2020 at 7pm UK
Wham Stadium

Accrington
3 - 2
Man Utd U21s

Burgess (8'), Pritchard (67', 85')
Burgess (53'), McConville (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pellistri (39'), Elanga (61')
Mejbri (82')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Second Round clash between Accrington Stanley and Manchester United Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 19.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Manchester United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawManchester United Under-21s
59.4%21.01%19.59%
Both teams to score 57.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.55%39.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.2%61.79%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.03%12.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.55%39.45%
Manchester United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31%33.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.65%70.34%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 59.4%
    Manchester United Under-21s 19.59%
    Draw 21.01%
Accrington StanleyDrawManchester United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.92%
2-0 @ 9.12%
1-0 @ 8.92%
3-1 @ 6.75%
3-0 @ 6.21%
3-2 @ 3.67%
4-1 @ 3.45%
4-0 @ 3.17%
4-2 @ 1.88%
5-1 @ 1.41%
5-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 59.4%
1-1 @ 9.71%
2-2 @ 5.4%
0-0 @ 4.37%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 5.28%
0-1 @ 4.75%
0-2 @ 2.59%
2-3 @ 1.96%
1-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 19.59%

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