Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 69.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.