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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2020 at 7pm UK
The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Chelsea U21s

Agyei (17'), Osei (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Russell (53')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Oxford United and Chelsea Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 69.39%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 12.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Chelsea Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
69.39%17.77%12.84%
Both teams to score 53.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.43%37.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.19%59.81%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.23%9.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.5%32.5%
Chelsea Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12%40.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55%77.45%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 69.39%
    Chelsea Under-21s 12.84%
    Draw 17.77%
Oxford UnitedDrawChelsea Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 9.67%
1-0 @ 9.29%
3-0 @ 8.38%
3-1 @ 7.49%
4-0 @ 4.87%
4-1 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.35%
5-0 @ 2.27%
5-1 @ 2.03%
4-2 @ 1.95%
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 69.39%
1-1 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 4.32%
0-0 @ 4%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.77%
1-2 @ 3.72%
0-1 @ 3.57%
0-2 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.29%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 12.84%


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