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EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
4 - 0
Liverpool U21s

Kelly (33'), O'Keeffe (50' pen., 72'), Andrews (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 74.4%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Liverpool Under-21s had a probability of 11.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.55%), while for a Liverpool Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawLiverpool Under-21s
74.4%14.1%11.51%
Both teams to score 64.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.8%22.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.83%41.18%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.88%5.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.67%20.33%
Liverpool Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06%31.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61%68.39%
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 74.4%
    Liverpool Under-21s 11.51%
    Draw 14.1%
RochdaleDrawLiverpool Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-0 @ 7.16%
4-1 @ 6.08%
4-0 @ 5.32%
1-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 4.67%
5-1 @ 3.61%
4-2 @ 3.47%
5-0 @ 3.17%
5-2 @ 2.06%
6-1 @ 1.79%
6-0 @ 1.57%
4-3 @ 1.32%
6-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 74.4%
1-1 @ 5.55%
2-2 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.78%
0-0 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 14.1%
1-2 @ 3.17%
0-1 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.79%
1-3 @ 1.2%
0-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 11.51%

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