Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
