Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 75.58%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 9.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Leeds United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
