Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
