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SU
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2021 at 7pm UK
Glanford Park
DR

Scunthorpe
2 - 3
Doncaster

Loft (88'), Scrimshaw (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vilca (5'), Dodoo (16', 58')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 49.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
24.11%25.94%49.95%
Both teams to score 48.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.95%55.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.69%76.31%
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85%38.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09%74.91%
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92%22.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.56%55.44%
Score Analysis
    Scunthorpe United 24.11%
    Doncaster Rovers 49.94%
    Draw 25.94%
Scunthorpe UnitedDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 8.12%
2-1 @ 5.91%
2-0 @ 3.91%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.43%
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 24.11%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 8.43%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 12.72%
0-2 @ 9.61%
1-2 @ 9.26%
0-3 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 4.66%
2-3 @ 2.25%
0-4 @ 1.83%
1-4 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 49.94%

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