Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.