Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.