SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 80.76%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 6.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | HamKam |
80.76% ( -0.71) | 12.4% ( 0.44) | 6.84% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.6% ( -1.25) | 30.4% ( 1.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.32% ( -1.51) | 51.67% ( 1.5) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.25% ( -0.37) | 5.75% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.83% ( -1.06) | 22.16% ( 1.06) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.11% ( -0.25) | 47.89% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.85% ( -0.18) | 83.15% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | HamKam |
| 2-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.37)4-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)6-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.12)5-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.26% Total : 80.75% | 1-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.81% Total : 12.4% | 1-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.68% Total : 6.84% |
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