SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
25.14% ( -0.03) | 23.13% ( 0.02) | 51.72% |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.44% ( -0.13) | 42.55% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.04% ( -0.13) | 64.96% ( 0.12) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -0.09) | 30.46% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% ( -0.1) | 66.67% ( 0.1) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.48% ( -0.05) | 16.51% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.74% ( -0.08) | 46.25% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 25.14% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.9% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 51.72% |
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