SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 57.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Tromso IL had a probability of 20.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Tromso IL win it was 1-0 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
20.47% ( -0.11) | 22.49% ( -0) | 57.03% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( -0.14) | 44.91% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( -0.13) | 67.27% ( 0.13) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( -0.19) | 35.95% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% ( -0.19) | 72.73% ( 0.19) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% ( -0.01) | 15.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% ( -0.02) | 44.42% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.47% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 57.03% |
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