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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 4
Jun 28, 2020 at 5pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
2 - 1
Sarpsborg

Petter Hauge (32'), Saltnes (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jorgen Halvorsen (54')
Bojang (15'), Odegaard (90+3')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Bodo/Glimt and Sarpsborg 08.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 65.92%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 14.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawSarpsborg 08
65.92%20.05%14.03%
Both teams to score 48.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.75%45.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.4%67.59%
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.13%12.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.74%39.26%
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.03%43.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9%80.09%
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 65.91%
    Sarpsborg 08 14.03%
    Draw 20.05%
Bodo/GlimtDrawSarpsborg 08
2-0 @ 11.89%
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 8.13%
3-1 @ 6.68%
4-0 @ 4.17%
4-1 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 2.74%
5-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 65.91%
1-1 @ 9.53%
0-0 @ 5.66%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.05%
0-1 @ 4.65%
1-2 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.1%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 14.03%


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