SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Tromso IL |
34.63% ( 0.04) | 26.08% ( 0.02) | 39.29% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.34% ( -0.05) | 50.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( -0.04) | 72.57% ( 0.05) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0) | 27.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -0) | 63.63% ( 0.01) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.69% ( -0.05) | 25.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.91% ( -0.07) | 60.09% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.63% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.29% |
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