SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | HamKam | 20 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | FK Haugesund | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Aalesund | 20 | -9 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Stromsgodset | 20 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Tromso IL | 20 | -5 | 27 |
| 9 | Odd | 20 | -13 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Haugesund win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Haugesund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FK Haugesund in this match.
| Result | ||
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Tromso IL |
51.57% ( 0.56) | 22.97% ( -0.41) | 25.46% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.97% ( 1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.51% ( 1.72) | 41.49% ( -1.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% ( 1.72) | 63.89% ( -1.72) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.82% ( 0.83) | 16.18% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.35% ( 1.5) | 45.66% ( -1.49) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( 0.8) | 29.65% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( 0.96) | 65.69% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| FK Haugesund | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.46% Total : 51.57% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.38)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 25.46% |
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