SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fredrikstad win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fredrikstad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Kristiansund |
58.37% ( 0.83) | 22.58% ( -0) | 19.06% ( -0.83) |
| Both teams to score 51.5% ( -1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -1.16) | 47.23% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -1.09) | 69.46% ( 1.08) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.13% ( -0.12) | 15.87% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.92% ( -0.22) | 45.08% ( 0.22) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.22% ( -1.56) | 38.78% ( 1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.48% ( -1.51) | 75.52% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fredrikstad | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.41)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.3% Total : 19.06% |
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