SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 52.72%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sandefjord | Draw | Lillestrom |
25.1% ( -0.09) | 22.17% ( -0.02) | 52.72% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 61.4% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.89% ( -0) | 38.11% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.62% | 60.38% ( 0) |
| Sandefjord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( -0.07) | 28.11% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.21% ( -0.09) | 63.79% ( 0.09) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.42% ( 0.03) | 14.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.34% ( 0.07) | 42.65% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sandefjord | Draw | Lillestrom |
| 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 25.1% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.6% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.93% 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.73% |
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