SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | FK Haugesund | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Jerv | 9 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 8 | -11 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Valerenga Fotball | 10 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | HamKam | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 8 | -4 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Jerv had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Jerv win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HamKam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jerv | Draw | HamKam |
30.98% ( -0.11) | 25.14% ( 0.03) | 43.88% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( -0.18) | 47.65% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% ( -0.17) | 69.85% ( 0.17) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.16) | 28.84% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.29% ( -0.2) | 64.71% ( 0.2) |
| HamKam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( -0.04) | 21.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% ( -0.06) | 54.88% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jerv | Draw | HamKam |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.98% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.88% |
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