SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Molde | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 10 | 1 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | FK Haugesund | 10 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Jerv | 9 | -13 | 7 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 7 | -9 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 72.82%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Jerv had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 3-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Jerv win it was 1-2 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Jerv |
72.82% ( 1.53) | 16% ( -0.61) | 11.18% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 54.57% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.64% ( 0.41) | 33.35% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.87% ( 0.47) | 55.13% ( -0.47) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.06% ( 0.43) | 7.93% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.96% ( 1.07) | 28.04% ( -1.07) |
| Jerv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( -1.23) | 40.72% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( -1.12) | 77.3% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Jerv |
| 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.35)1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.33)4-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.22)5-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.26% Total : 72.81% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.17% Total : 16% | 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.18% |
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