Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 58.2%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 20.91% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.