Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
