Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.