Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sandefjord win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sandefjord win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sandefjord in this match.