Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.