Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjondalen win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjondalen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjondalen would win this match.