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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 13
Jul 9, 2023 at 6.15pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
2 - 0
Brann

Eriksen (12'), Berisha (90+5')
Moe (40'), Breivik (58'), Kitolano (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Molde
Sunday, July 2 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 HamKam
Sunday, July 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

We said: Molde 2-1 SK Brann

After making an extremely poor start to their title defence, Molde appear to have rediscovered their winning groove in recent times, with Moe's side desperately unfortunate not to close the gap on Bodo/Glimt last time out. Brann have re-adapted very well to life back in Norway's top flight, with their cup triumph further boosting their confidence, but we can envisage them falling to a narrow defeat this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.89%) and 3-2 (5.08%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawSK Brann
47.62% (-0.849 -0.85) 20.73% (0.253 0.25) 31.64% (0.599 0.6)
Both teams to score 72.39% (-0.64 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.97% (-0.94200000000001 -0.94)26.03% (0.946 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.75% (-1.223 -1.22)46.25% (1.226 1.23)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.14% (-0.586 -0.59)11.86% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.85% (-1.269 -1.27)37.15% (1.274 1.27)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (-0.176 -0.18)17.87% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (-0.306 -0.31)48.64% (0.31 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Molde 47.62%
    SK Brann 31.64%
    Draw 20.73%
MoldeDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.89% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 5.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.066 0.07)
1-0 @ 4.52% (0.166 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-3 @ 1.55% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.087 -0.09)
5-2 @ 1.15% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 47.62%
1-1 @ 7.78% (0.242 0.24)
2-2 @ 7.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 2.12% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 4.1% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.077 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.196 0.2)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.152 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.077 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.023 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.25% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 31.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Molde
Sunday, July 2 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 1-0 Haugesund
Sunday, June 25 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Odd 1-0 Molde
Sunday, June 11 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Viking FK 3-4 Molde
Sunday, June 4 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Molde 5-0 Sandefjord
Monday, May 29 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 3-1 Molde
Tuesday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-1 HamKam
Sunday, July 2 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Viking FK 3-1 Brann
Saturday, June 24 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 2-2 Lillestrom
Sunday, June 11 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Aalesund 1-3 Brann
Sunday, June 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 3-1 Rosenborg
Monday, May 29 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 4-1 Stabaek
Tuesday, May 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien


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