Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.89%) and 3-2 (5.08%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
Result | ||
Molde | Draw | SK Brann |
47.62% ( -0.85) | 20.73% ( 0.25) | 31.64% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 72.39% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.97% ( -0.94) | 26.03% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.75% ( -1.22) | 46.25% ( 1.23) |
Molde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.14% ( -0.59) | 11.86% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.85% ( -1.27) | 37.15% ( 1.27) |
SK Brann Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( -0.18) | 17.87% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% ( -0.31) | 48.64% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Molde | Draw | SK Brann |
2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.89% Total : 47.62% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.72% Total : 31.64% |
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