SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 79.04%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 7.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (2.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Molde | Draw | FK Haugesund |
79.04% ( -0.09) | 13.36% ( 0.05) | 7.6% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.25% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.68% ( -0.17) | 32.31% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.07% ( -0.2) | 53.93% ( 0.19) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.54% ( -0.05) | 6.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.85% ( -0.14) | 24.14% ( 0.14) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.64% ( -0.05) | 47.35% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.24% ( -0.04) | 82.75% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Molde | Draw | FK Haugesund |
| 2-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 79.03% | 1-1 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.83% Total : 13.36% | 1-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.97% Total : 7.6% |
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