Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 12.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Stromsgodset win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.