Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 53%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.83%) and 0-1 (6.67%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.