Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 9.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 22.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.63%) and 0-3 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.92%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	Molde
9.91%	25.54%	64.55%

Both teams to score 26.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

29.68%

70.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.56%

87.44%

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.57%

66.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.4%

93.6%

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53%

22.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98%

56.02%

Score Analysis

Dundalk 9.91%

Molde 64.54%

Draw 25.53%

Dundalk	Draw	Molde
1-0 @ 6.11% 2-1 @ 1.87% 2-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.69% Total : 9.91%	0-0 @ 14.92% 1-1 @ 9.12% 2-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 22.28% 0-2 @ 16.63% 0-3 @ 8.28% 1-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-4 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.89% Total : 64.54%