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Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jul 29, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
4 - 1
Valerenga

Aursnes (28'), Christensen (56'), Omoijuanfo (78'), Hussain (90+1')
Bjornbak (45'), Christensen (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Finne (86')
Thiago Holm (7')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Molde and Valerenga Fotball.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 71.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Valerenga Fotball win it was 0-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
MoldeDrawValerenga Fotball
71.75%17.15%11.1%
Both teams to score 49.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.64%39.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.3%61.7%
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.32%9.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.72%32.28%
Valerenga Fotball Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.06%44.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11%80.89%
Score Analysis
    Molde 71.74%
    Valerenga Fotball 11.1%
    Draw 17.15%
MoldeDrawValerenga Fotball
2-0 @ 11.86%
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 9.24%
3-1 @ 7.39%
4-0 @ 5.39%
4-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.95%
5-0 @ 2.52%
5-1 @ 2.02%
4-2 @ 1.73%
6-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 71.74%
1-1 @ 8.12%
0-0 @ 4.35%
2-2 @ 3.79%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 17.15%
0-1 @ 3.48%
1-2 @ 3.25%
0-2 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 11.1%


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