Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Mjondalen had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Mjondalen win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.