Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 68.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 0-1 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.