Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.