Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.