Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.