SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Stromsgodset | 22 | 1 | 29 |
| 9 | Tromso IL | 21 | -6 | 27 |
| 10 | FK Haugesund | 21 | -2 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Lillestrom | 22 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 27 | 41 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 21 | 17 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
28.09% ( 0.91) | 23.5% ( 0.06) | 48.4% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 59.5% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.14% ( 0.4) | 41.86% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( 0.4) | 64.26% ( -0.4) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( 0.86) | 27.89% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( 1.08) | 63.51% ( -1.08) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.51% ( -0.21) | 17.48% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.02% ( -0.38) | 47.97% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.09% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 5.5% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 3.87% Total : 48.4% |
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