Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Emmen win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
